Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Rakow
Rakow4 - 0Lech Poznan
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gurgul (5'), Marchwinski (40')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Lech Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Rakow
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, February 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, February 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Lech Poznan |
44.71% ( -0.97) | 25.83% ( 0.25) | 29.46% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( -0.65) | 51.22% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( -0.57) | 73.06% ( 0.57) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.73) | 22.84% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.43% ( -1.09) | 56.57% ( 1.09) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( 0.2) | 31.72% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.23) | 68.14% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Rakow Czestochowa 44.71%
Lech Poznan 29.46%
Draw 25.82%
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.46% |
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Lech Poznan
4-1
Rakow
Form Guide
