MX23RW : Monday, March 31 08:11:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
Rakow

Lech Poznan
4 - 1
Rakow

Gurgul (7'), Marchwinski (25'), Velde (72'), Ba Loua (90+3')
Karlstrom (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sorescu (2')
Lederman (56'), Kovacevic (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-5 Rakow
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
49.31% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.13% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)74.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)21.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.45% (0.058 0.06)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.78% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 49.3%
    Rakow Czestochowa 25.13%
    Draw 25.56%
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Rakow

Lech Poznan
Draw
Rakow Czestochowa
Lech Poznan
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Rakow Czestochowa
55.6%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Rakow CzestochowaRakow25157337162152
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia26156547311651
3Lech Poznan26162848242450
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin26135841281344
5Legia WarsawLegia26118748351341
6KS CracoviaCracovia2611874740741
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik26124103731640
8Motor Lublin2611693945-639
9Katowice26106103532336
10Radomiak Radom26104123740-334
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice268992628-233
12Widzew Lodz2696113039-933
13Korona Kielce268992534-933
14Puszcza Niepolomice2667132538-1325
15Lechia GdanskGdansk2666142744-1724
16Stal Mielec2665152742-1523
17Zaglebie Lubin2565142138-1723
18Slask Wroclaw2649132840-1221


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