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Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Colney Training Centre

Arsenal U21s
3 - 3
Brighton U21s

Cottrell (74' pen.), Cozier-Duberry (77'), Cirjan (80')
Henry-Francis (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mullins (29'), Barrington (52'), Peupion (79')
Peupion (58'), Nilsson (67'), Packham (85')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham U21s 2-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Brighton U21s 3-2 Man City U21s
Sunday, April 9 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 3-1 (5.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
47.38% (0.532 0.53) 21.83% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 30.78% (-0.45 -0.45)
Both teams to score 67.56% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.93% (0.19000000000001 0.19)32.06% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.36% (0.223 0.22)53.64% (-0.229 -0.23)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83% (0.247 0.25)14.17% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (0.488 0.49)41.85% (-0.494 -0.49)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.155 -0.16)21.29% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.239 -0.24)54.22% (0.234 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 47.38%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 30.78%
    Draw 21.83%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.047 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 30.78%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
Brighton U21s
2-2
Arsenal U21s
Hinshelwood (3'), Nilsson (73')
Tsoungui (20'), Moran (23'), (83')
Cozier-Duberry (8'), Sagoe Jr (47')
Azeez (15')
rhs 2.0
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