Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.91%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-23s would win this match.
