Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 40%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Under-23s in this match.