MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:35:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa U21s
3 - 1
Derby U21s

Broggio (10', 13'), Richards (85')
Wilson (53'), Patterson (76'), Smith (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ilesanmi (87')
Robinson (51'), Stepien-Iwumene (51')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs U21s 4-3 Aston Villa U21s (0-0 pen.)
Monday, May 6 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 3-0 Everton U21s
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
50.05% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36) 20.03% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 29.92% (0.302 0.3)
Both teams to score 74.07% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.5% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)23.5% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.07% (-0.178 -0.18)42.93% (0.183 0.18)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)10.28% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.32% (-0.322 -0.32)33.67% (0.325 0.33)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.079999999999998 0.08)17.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (0.14 0.14)47.89% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 50.05%
    Derby County Under-21s 29.92%
    Draw 20.03%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 5.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.08% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 7.12% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-0 @ 1.79% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.13% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 29.92%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 6pm
Aston Villa U21s
3-1
Derby U21s
Broggio (4'), Moore (7'), Richards (20')
Munroe (40'), Rowe (60'), Smith (78')
Munroe (57')
Brown (32')
Gibson-Hammond (10'), Johnson (36'), Jeffcott (67'), C. Lindsay (88'), Lindsay (88')
Apr 14, 2023 7pm
Aston Villa U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Afoka (52', 69'), Feeney (65')
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
Derby U21s
0-2
Aston Villa U21s
Afoka (11'), Firth (63')
rhs 2.0
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