MX23RW : Friday, November 1 00:04:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground

Aston Villa U21s
3 - 0
Derby U21s

Afoka (52', 69'), Feeney (65')
Feeney (30'), Kesler (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunn (84')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich U21s 1-3 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-5 WBA U21s
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 64.56%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 17.98% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
64.56% (0.503 0.5) 17.46% (-0.21 -0.21) 17.98% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 68.38% (0.264 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.37% (0.545 0.55)24.63% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.57% (0.71700000000001 0.72)44.43% (-0.714 -0.71)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (0.247 0.25)7.4% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.33% (0.636 0.64)26.66% (-0.635 -0.63)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.15% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (0.117 0.12)61.23% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 64.56%
    Derby County Under-21s 17.98%
    Draw 17.46%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 3.33% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.74% (0.055 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.49% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 64.56%
1-1 @ 6.76% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.94% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.46%
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.6% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 17.98%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
Derby U21s
0-2
Aston Villa U21s
Afoka (11'), Firth (63')
Smith (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!