Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leeds United Under-23s in this match.
