Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 2Chelsea
The Match
Match Report
Chelsea have an injury-time winner ruled out in an engrossing 2-2 Premier League draw with Aston Villa, who let a 2-0 lead slip on home soil.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Premier League
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.62%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Chelsea |
59.62% ( 0.06) | 20.11% ( -0.03) | 20.27% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 62.22% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.89% ( 0.1) | 34.11% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.01% ( 0.11) | 55.98% ( -0.11) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.76% ( 0.05) | 11.24% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.2% ( 0.1) | 35.8% ( -0.1) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% ( 0.03) | 29.9% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% ( 0.04) | 66% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 59.62%
Chelsea 20.27%
Draw 20.11%
Aston Villa | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.62% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 20.27% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Aston Villa
53.3%Draw
22.0%Chelsea
24.7%291
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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