Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford2 - 1Aston Villa
We said: Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa
Brentford have not lost to Villa in any competition since February 1953, and the points were shared in a 1-1 draw earlier this season. Villa will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways here, but we believe that Brentford will have enough to secure a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 33.66% | 27.41% | 38.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% | 56.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% | 77.25% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% | 31.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.23% | 63.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Brentford 33.65%
Aston Villa 38.92%
Draw 27.41%
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.92% |
How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa
Brentford
26.8%Draw
23.6%Aston Villa
49.6%284
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Aston Villa on brink of equalling 24-year streak versus Brentford
Aston Villa are on the brink of equalling a 24-year streak as they prepare to take on Brentford in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon.
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Thomas Frank hopeful Bryan Mbeumo is fit for Aston Villa
Thomas Frank provides an injury update on the Brentford squad as he hopes to have Bryan Mbeumo back to face Aston Villa this weekend.
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