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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Burnley logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Burnley

Almiron (14'), Isak (76' pen.)
Gordon (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Amdouni (29'), Beyer (40'), Taylor (53')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United make it three straight wins in the Premier League courtesy of a 2-0 success over Burnley at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
46.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.42% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.5%
Both teams to score 49.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)75.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 46.07%
    Burnley 27.5%
    Draw 26.41%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.5%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Burnley

Newcastle United
86.7%
Draw
9.5%
Burnley
3.8%
105
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Cornet (69')
Tarkowski (65')
Wilson (20' pen., 60')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Newcastle
1-0
Burnley
Wilson (40')
Manquillo (87')

Collins (75')
Aug 25, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
0-0
Burnley
Burnley win 4-3 on penalties
Collins (79'), McNeil (80')
Apr 11, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Vydra (18')
Brownhill (69')
Murphy (59'), Saint-Maximin (64')
Oct 3, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Newcastle
3-1
Burnley
Saint-Maximin (14'), Wilson (65', 77' pen.)
Joelinton (37'), Lewis (49')
Westwood (61')
Tarkowski (37'), Barnes (40'), McNeil (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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