Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
31.53% ( 1.09) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 44.28% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.91% ( 0.52) | 43.08% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% ( 0.51) | 65.48% ( -0.51) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.95) | 26.23% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 1.26) | 61.33% ( -1.26) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( -0.25) | 19.64% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( -0.41) | 51.6% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.53% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
5 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
7 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 47 | -34 | 6 |
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