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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Newcastle logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Newcastle

Elanga (26'), Hudson-Odoi (45+6')
Gibbs-White (59')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guimaraes (10', 66'), Schar (43')
Botman (58'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Bruno Guimaraes scores a brace as Newcastle United record a 3-2 victory over Nottingham Forest in Saturday's Premier League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
31.53% (1.088 1.09) 24.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.28% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.582 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.51799999999999 0.52)43.08% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.509 0.51)65.48% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.953 0.95)26.23% (-0.955 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.26 1.26)61.33% (-1.263 -1.26)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.253 -0.25)19.64% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.412 -0.41)51.6% (0.409 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 31.53%
    Newcastle United 44.28%
    Draw 24.18%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.28%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle

Nottingham Forest
22.3%
Draw
26.1%
Newcastle United
51.6%
157
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Newcastle
1-3
Nott'm Forest
Isak (23' pen.)
Gordon (27'), Guimaraes (85'), Schar (88')
Wood (45+1', 53', 60')
Sangare (26'), Montiel (27'), Williams (84')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Newcastle
Dennis (26')
Isak (45+2', 90+3')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Schar (58'), Wilson (78')

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Aston Villa2210663334-136
8Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


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