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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Newcastle logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Newcastle

Elanga (26'), Hudson-Odoi (45+6')
Gibbs-White (59')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guimaraes (10', 66'), Schar (43')
Botman (58'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Bruno Guimaraes scores a brace as Newcastle United record a 3-2 victory over Nottingham Forest in Saturday's Premier League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
31.53% (1.088 1.09) 24.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.28% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.582 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.51799999999999 0.52)43.08% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.509 0.51)65.48% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.953 0.95)26.23% (-0.955 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.26 1.26)61.33% (-1.263 -1.26)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.253 -0.25)19.64% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.412 -0.41)51.6% (0.409 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 31.53%
    Newcastle United 44.28%
    Draw 24.18%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.28%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle

Nottingham Forest
22.3%
Draw
26.1%
Newcastle United
51.6%
157
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Newcastle
1-3
Nott'm Forest
Isak (23' pen.)
Gordon (27'), Guimaraes (85'), Schar (88')
Wood (45+1', 53', 60')
Sangare (26'), Montiel (27'), Williams (84')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Newcastle
Dennis (26')
Isak (45+2', 90+3')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Schar (58'), Wilson (78')

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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