Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
31.53% ( 1.09) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 44.28% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.91% ( 0.52) | 43.08% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% ( 0.51) | 65.48% ( -0.51) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.95) | 26.23% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 1.26) | 61.33% ( -1.26) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( -0.25) | 19.64% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( -0.41) | 51.6% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.53% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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