Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.