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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Southampton

Ferguson (29', 40'), Gross (69')
Veltman (71'), Buonanotte (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elyounoussi (58')
Bednarek (14'), Alcaraz (34'), Elyounoussi (43'), Ward-Prowse (64'), Bree (67')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for Europe next season courtesy of a 3-1 Premier League win over Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
Thursday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
71.85% (-0.197 -0.2) 17.43% (0.168 0.17) 10.72% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.32% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.705 -0.7)41.79% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.714 -0.71)64.2% (0.71299999999999 0.71)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (-0.236 -0.24)10.29% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (-0.539 -0.54)33.69% (0.538 0.54)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.413 -0.41)47.25% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.32% (-0.314 -0.31)82.68% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 71.84%
    Southampton 10.72%
    Draw 17.43%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 12.57% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 9.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 71.84%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.43%
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 10.72%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
85.9%
Draw
9.9%
Southampton
4.2%
71
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Southampton
1-3
Brighton
Ward-Prowse (73')
Aribo (60')
Lallana (14'), Perraud (35' og.), March (56')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
gameweek 28
Southampton
1-2
Brighton
Adams (27')
Dunk (16'), Trossard (56')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
gameweek 11
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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