Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
34.72% ( -0.02) | 26.16% ( 0) | 39.11% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.98% ( -0.02) | 51.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.12% ( -0.01) | 72.88% ( 0.01) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( -0.02) | 28.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( -0.02) | 63.77% ( 0.02) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( -0) | 25.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( -0) | 60.44% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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