Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.