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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
5 - 0
Aston Villa

Mateta (9', 39', 63'), Eze (54', 69')
Andersen (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGinn (18'), Digne (58'), Luiz (73'), Lenglet (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace ease to a 5-0 victory over Aston Villa on the final day of the 2023-24 Premier League season, securing their place in the top half of the table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-3 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
40.56% (-1.837 -1.84) 23.77% (0.02 0.02) 35.67% (1.819 1.82)
Both teams to score 62.15% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (0.318 0.32)39.91% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.73% (0.328 0.33)62.27% (-0.327 -0.33)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.684 -0.68)19.96% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-1.114 -1.11)52.13% (1.116 1.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (1.136 1.14)22.35% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16% (1.672 1.67)55.84% (-1.671 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 40.56%
    Aston Villa 35.67%
    Draw 23.77%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.248 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.257 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.252 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.206 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.142 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.09 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.67%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
57.7%
Draw
14.8%
Aston Villa
27.6%
196
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-1
Crystal Palace
Duran (87'), Luiz (90+8' pen.), Bailey (90+11')
McGinn (17'), Zaniolo (45+4'), Cash (86'), Duran (90+15'), Bailey (90+14')
Edouard (47')
Eze (17'), Hughes (53'), Ward (90+8')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Crystal Palace
3-1
Aston Villa
Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Aston Villa
1-1
Crystal Palace
Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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