Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
36.7% ( 0.11) | 27.66% ( -0.01) | 35.64% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.84% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% ( 0.06) | 56.96% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.14% ( 0.05) | 77.86% ( -0.05) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( 0.1) | 29.79% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( 0.12) | 65.86% ( -0.12) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( -0.03) | 30.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( -0.04) | 66.65% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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