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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Watford logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Watford

Zaha (31' pen.)
Hughes (64'), Olise (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (16'), King (84')
Kamara (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-0 Watford

Relegation can sometimes allow clubs to play with the shackles off, so some improvement may come from Watford in the closing weeks of the season, but right now they are still in the limbo of knowing that they are effectively down, without the mathematical confirmation. That is likely to come this weekend, and with Hodgson also departing, there is a danger that the Hornets could give up on this season and begin to focus on life back in the Championship. Palace, meanwhile, still have goals for the campaign and so we are predicting them to pick up a relatively comfortable win this weekend.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Watford has a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline is Crystal Palace 1-0 Watford with a probability of 12.77% and the second most likely scoreline is Crystal Palace 2-0 Watford with a probability of 11.67%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawWatford
60.94%22.43%16.63%
Both teams to score 47.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68%50.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74%72.26%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94%16.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.56%45.44%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.51%43.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.3%79.7%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 60.93%
    Watford 16.63%
    Draw 22.42%
Crystal PalaceDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.47%
5-0 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 60.93%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.82%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Watford

Crystal Palace
88.0%
Draw
7.4%
Watford
4.6%
108
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2022 7.30pm
Watford
1-4
Crystal Palace
Sissoko (18')
Samir (40'), Femenia (62')
Mateta (15'), Gallagher (42'), Zaha (85', 90')
Kouyate (44')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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