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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Watford

Llorente (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
45.49%25.72%28.79%
Both teams to score 52.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9%51.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04%72.96%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57%22.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.05%55.95%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85%32.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37%68.64%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 45.48%
    Watford 28.79%
    Draw 25.72%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.18%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
52.6%
Draw
26.6%
Watford
20.8%
173
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Dec 7, 2013 3pm
Leeds
3-3
Watford
Pugh (50'), Smith (56'), McCormack (78')
Pugh (44')
Deeney (12', 86'), Battocchio (43')
Ekstrand (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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