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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Brighton logo

Man City
2 - 1
Brighton

Alvarez (7'), Haaland (19')
Rodri (38'), Akanji (63'), Grealish (84')
Akanji (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fati (73')
March (36'), Julio (64')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Manchester City return to the top of the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
69.31% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01) 16.28% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 14.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.96% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.04% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.74% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.26% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.14% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)6.86% (0.0068999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.24% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 69.31%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 14.41%
    Draw 16.28%
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 69.31%
1-1 @ 6.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 16.28%
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-1 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 14.41%

How you voted: Man City vs Brighton

Manchester City
77.7%
Draw
11.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
10.9%
202
Head to Head
May 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Brighton
1-1
Man City
Enciso (38')
Veltman (89'), Paul van Hecke (90+1')
Foden (25')
Silva (41'), Guardiola (83')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Man City
3-1
Brighton
Braut Haaland (22', 43' pen.), De Bruyne (75')
Trossard (53')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
Man City
3-0
Brighton
Mahrez (53'), Foden (65'), Silva (82')

Mac Allister (79'), Webster (81'), Dunk (89')
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Brighton
1-4
Man City
Mac Allister (81' pen.)
Moder (63'), Lallana (70')
Gundogan (13'), Foden (28', 31'), Mahrez (90+5')
Walker (22'), Cancelo (60'), Ederson (84')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Brighton
3-2
Man City
Trossard (50'), Webster (72'), Burn (76')
Jahanbakhsh (27'), Webster (90+3'), Sanchez (90+5')
Gundogan (2'), Foden (48')
Silva (73'), Rodri (79'), Fernandinho (82')
Cancelo (10')
Build-up
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on September 23, 2023
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Brighton & Hove Albion
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday.
Oct 18, 10:30
Manchester City's John Stones pictured on August 6, 2023
How Manchester City could line up against Brighton & Hove Albion
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Oct 19, 14:38
England's Kalvin Phillips celebrates after the match on October 13, 2023
Manchester City's Pep Guardiola refuses to rule out January exit for Kalvin Phillips
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola refuses to rule out a January exit for midfielder Kalvin Phillips amid interest from a number of clubs in England and abroad.
Oct 20, 15:19
Brighton & Hove Albion manager Roberto De Zerbi shakes hands with Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on May 24, 2023
Pep Guardiola heaps praise on Roberto De Zerbi, Brighton's "unique" style of play
Pep Guardiola says that he 'admires' Roberto De Zerbi's bravery as a manager and has heaped praise on Brighton & Hove Albion's "unique" style of play ahead of their visit to Manchester City on Saturday.
Oct 20, 15:49
Rodri celebrates scoring for Manchester City on August 27, 2023
Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola confident Rodri "will learn" from suspension
Pep Guardiola is confident that Rodri "will learn" from the incident that resulted in the Manchester City midfielder receiving a red card for violent conduct against Nottingham Forest last month.
Oct 20, 16:18
Brighton & Hove Albion's Pervis Estupinan and James Milner celebrate after the match on September 2, 2023
Roberto De Zerbi issues injury update on Brighton & Hove Albion quartet for Manchester City clash
Roberto De Zerbi provides an injury update on Brighton & Hove Albion quartet James Milner, Pervis Estupinan, Tariq Lamptey and Jakub Moder ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.
Oct 20, 16:58
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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