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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Brighton logo

Aston Villa
6 - 1
Brighton

Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa beat Brighton & Hove Albion 6-1 to go 10 wins in a row at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
40.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.76% (0.0010000000000012 0) 35.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.92% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71% (-0.012 -0.01)62.28% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2%19.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13%51.87%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)56.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.93%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%
    Draw 23.76%
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.93%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.31%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Aston Villa
35.5%
Draw
29.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
34.8%
141
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
2-0
Brighton
Watkins (84'), Mings (89')
Nakamba (59'), Konsa (90+3'), Cash (90+4')

Cucurella (49'), Webster (67'), Mac Allister (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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