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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Roberto de Zerbi's inspired substitutions earn Brighton & Hove Albion a 3-1 win over Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
63.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 19.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.87% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.25% (0.139 0.14)37.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.01% (0.149 0.15)59.99% (-0.151 -0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.031999999999996 0.03)11.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.96% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.134 0.13)35.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.139 0.14)72.38% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 63.46%
    Bournemouth 16.87%
    Draw 19.66%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Draw
12.7%
Bournemouth
4.5%
110
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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