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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Roberto de Zerbi's inspired substitutions earn Brighton & Hove Albion a 3-1 win over Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
63.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 19.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.87% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.25% (0.139 0.14)37.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.01% (0.149 0.15)59.99% (-0.151 -0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.031999999999996 0.03)11.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.96% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.134 0.13)35.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.139 0.14)72.38% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 63.46%
    Bournemouth 16.87%
    Draw 19.66%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Draw
12.7%
Bournemouth
4.5%
110
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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