Brighton3 - 1Bournemouth
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
63.46% ( -0.03) | 19.66% ( -0.01) | 16.87% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.14) | 37.74% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( 0.15) | 59.99% ( -0.15) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% ( 0.03) | 11.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.03% ( 0.07) | 35.96% ( -0.08) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( 0.13) | 35.61% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.62% ( 0.14) | 72.38% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.35% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.87% |
