Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.