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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
Burnley logo

Newcastle
3 - 1
Burnley

Saint-Maximin (14'), Wilson (65', 77' pen.)
Joelinton (37'), Lewis (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Westwood (61')
Tarkowski (37'), Barnes (40'), McNeil (69')

The Match

Match Report

The summer signing has scored four times in as many league games for the Magpies.

Team News

The French winger has sat out the last three games with an ankle problem.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
38.9%28.42%32.67%
Both teams to score 46.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.28%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%29.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99%34.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31%70.69%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 38.9%
    Burnley 32.67%
    Draw 28.41%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 32.67%

Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 26, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 28
Newcastle
2-0
Burnley
Schar (24'), Longstaff (38')
Longstaff (22')

Mee (39'), Hendrick (60'), Crouch (88')
Nov 26, 2018 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Vokes (40')
Mee (4' og.), Clark (23')
Ritchie (90')
Jan 31, 2018 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-1
Burnley
Lascelles (65')
Yedlin (30')
Darlow (85' og.)
Barnes (63'), Vokes (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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