Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.