Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.