Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.