Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Nott'm Forest1 - 2Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
A late Alexander Isak penalty earns Newcastle United three points at Nottingham Forest.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
23.46% ( 0.59) | 24.3% ( -0.05) | 52.23% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
