Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford0 - 2Brighton
We said: Watford 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
The expected return of Sarr could give Watford that attacking injection they need to end their scoreless streak under Hodgson, and an improved defensive solidity should also serve the hosts well here. Brighton fans will be sick of the sight of 1-1 stalemates as their side endeavours to end such a run, but that is exactly how we can envisage this encounter going as Watford continue to search for their first win of 2022. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 28.57% | 27.04% | 44.38% |
| Both teams to score 48.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% | 56.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% | 77.36% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% | 35.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.17% | 71.82% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% | 25.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40% | 59.99% |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 28.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion 44.38%
Draw 27.04%
| Watford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.39% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.38% |
How you voted: Watford vs Brighton
Watford
27.9%Draw
34.1%Brighton & Hove Albion
38.0%129
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
1-1
Watford
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Watford
0-3
Brighton
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Form Guide
