Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Brighton1 - 1Crystal Palace
We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Crystal Palace
Three of the last five Premier League meetings between these two sides have finished 1-1, while there has not been more than two goals in this fixture since March 2019, so it is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. A point would not be the worst result for either team, and we have had to settle on a stalemate here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 53.73% | 25.47% | 20.8% |
| Both teams to score 45.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
