Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.