MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:40:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Famalicao logo

Arouca
3 - 2
Famalicao

Sylla (33'), Cristo (45+1'), Mujica (64')
Jason (45'), Mujica (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cadiz (12'), Sa (56')
Youssouf (38'), Vinicios (44'), Mihaj (61'), Riccieli (75'), Cadiz (86'), Aranda (90+9')
Luis Rodriguez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Famalicao

While Famalicao did manage to claim a much-needed morale-boosting victory last weekend, they have struggled on the road, winning just twice in 11 away games this term. Arouca, on the other hand, have won three of their last four on home soil, and we feel they will be able to edge this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawFamalicao
32.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.41% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.94% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.6% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 32.26%
    Famalicao 41.11%
    Draw 26.62%
AroucaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.11%

How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Famalicao
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Famalicao
1-0
Arouca
Otavio (28')
Otavio (16'), Riccieli (39'), Aranda (45+1'), Aguirregabiria (51')
Riccieli (57')

Jason (20'), Galovic (64')
Mujica (77'), Ramos (90+5')
Apr 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Famalicao
0-1
Arouca
Sylla (90+3' pen.)
Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Arouca
4-1
Famalicao
Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')
Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 20
Famalicao
0-0
Arouca
Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')
Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
2-1
Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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