Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
40.96% ( 0.02) | 26.32% | 32.71% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -0.01) | 52.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( -0.01) | 73.79% ( 0.01) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.01) | 59.75% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% ( -0.02) | 29.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% ( -0.03) | 65.99% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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