Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
40.96% ( 0.02) | 26.32% | 32.71% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -0.01) | 52.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( -0.01) | 73.79% ( 0.01) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.01) | 59.75% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% ( -0.02) | 29.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% ( -0.03) | 65.99% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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