Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.83% ( -0.19) | 25.73% ( 0.08) | 24.44% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% ( -0.21) | 54.01% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% ( -0.17) | 75.45% ( 0.17) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( -0.17) | 21.71% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% ( -0.25) | 54.86% ( 0.25) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.72% ( -0.02) | 37.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% ( -0.02) | 74.06% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.82% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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