Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
We said: Famalicao 1-1 Rio Ave
Historically, matches between these sides are generally very level contests, and there is little to suggest that we should expect anything different in this match. This will likely be a tight and tactical encounter, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.83% . A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.44% .
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.32%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.99%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result Famalicao Draw Rio Ave 49.83% ( -0.19) 25.73% ( 0.08) 24.44% ( 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.12)
45.99% ( -0.21) 54.01% ( 0.21)
24.55% ( -0.17) 75.45% ( 0.17)
78.29% ( -0.17) 21.71% ( 0.17)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.14% ( -0.25) 54.86% ( 0.25)
62.72% ( -0.02) 37.28% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.94% ( -0.02) 74.06% ( 0.02)
Famalicao 49.82%
Rio Ave 24.44%
Draw 25.73%
Famalicao Draw Rio Ave 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.82% 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.73% 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.44%
How you voted: Famalicao vs Rio Ave
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rhs 2.0
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