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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Arouca

Portimonense
1 - 2
Arouca

Carrillo (71')
Ventura (20'), Jasper (56'), Carlinhos (63'), Guga (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mujica (48'), Rocha (52')
Milovanov (45+1')
Cunha (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Portimonense
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 5-0 Vizela
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 2-2 Arouca

Portimonense and Arouca head into the weekend off the back of huge wins and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. This makes for a thrilling showdown at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawArouca
27.96% (0.873 0.87) 25.93% (0.404 0.4) 46.11% (-1.279 -1.28)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.607 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-1.095 -1.1)52.41% (1.092 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (-0.949 -0.95)74.09% (0.946 0.95)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.105 0.11)33.47% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.113 0.11)70.11% (-0.116 -0.12)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-1.039 -1.04)22.7% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (-1.564 -1.56)56.35% (1.56 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 27.96%
    Arouca 46.1%
    Draw 25.93%
PortimonenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.378 0.38)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.96%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.324 0.32)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.1%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
1-1
Portimonense
Sylla (84')
Simao (59')
Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (5')
Formiga (25'), Sergio (39+39'), Dener (64')
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-2
Arouca

Gonzalez (67')
Antony (49'), Ruiz (51')
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Arouca
4-0
Portimonense
Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Arouca
1-0
Portimonense
Simao (50')
Quaresma (22')

Willyan (37'), Moufi (57')
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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