Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.