Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.