Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.