Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.