Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica3 - 2Farense
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and SC Farense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
| 67.8% | 18.61% | 13.59% |
| Both teams to score 52.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% | 39.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.92% | 62.08% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% | 10.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.85% | 41.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.31% | 77.68% |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 67.8%
SC Farense 13.59%
Draw 18.61%
| Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 11% 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.23% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 4.25% Total : 67.8% | 1-1 @ 8.76% 0-0 @ 4.42% 2-2 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.61% | 0-1 @ 3.93% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.28% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.59% |
