We said: Benfica 2-0 Vizela
With their highly-anticipated Champions League clash against Ajax around the corner, a victory here would undoubtedly help set the time for Benfica. They head into the game in fine form, claiming four wins and one draw from five games and, as opposed to the visitors, who are without a win in five straight outings. We are backing Benfica to come away with all three points and close the gap on second-placed Sporting Lisbon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.25%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.