We said: Boavista 1-1 Maritimo
Maritimo will head into the game in sky-high spirits after picking up just their second win of the campaign. Boavista have seen their form suffer a decline in recent months and will be looking to arrest this poor form and move into the top half of the table. With just one point separating them on the log, we expect a thrilling contest on Sunday with the spoils shared between the two evenly matched teams.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.