Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 1Maritimo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
| 50.42% | 26.52% | 23.06% |
| Both teams to score 45.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% | 57.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% | 78.67% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% | 23.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.04% | 56.96% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.21% | 40.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.63% | 77.36% |
| Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.4%
Maritimo 23.06%
Draw 26.52%
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.06% |
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Maritimo
Vitoria de Guimaraes
69.8%Draw
25.6%Maritimo
4.7%43
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2020 5.30pm
Form Guide
