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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Portimonense

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Portimonense

Boateng (54'), Manuel (89')
Sa (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dener (76'), Ventura (78'), Pedrao (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-0 Portimonense

While Rio Ave have been far from impressive this season, they have been difficult to beat lately and were a tad unlucky not to have got anything away to Vitoria Guimaraes in their last match. Still, the hosts are unbeaten in their last three home games, and we fancy them to claim an important win to move out of the bottom three in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawPortimonense
55.06% (0.313 0.31) 24.01% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 20.93% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.718 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (-0.688 -0.69)50.71% (0.689 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (-0.61 -0.61)72.61% (0.611 0.61)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.137 -0.14)18.3% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)49.37% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (-0.775 -0.77)38.79% (0.775 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47% (-0.741 -0.74)75.53% (0.741 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 55.04%
    Portimonense 20.93%
    Draw 24.01%
Rio AveDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.04%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.194 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Portimonense

Rio Ave
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Portimonense
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
2-2
Rio Ave
Junior (82', 90+7')
Patrick (19'), Costinha (74')
Oct 24, 2022 8.15pm
May 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 30
Portimonense
0-0
Rio Ave
Dener (89'), Ewerton (90+2')
Jan 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Rio Ave
3-0
Portimonense
Pele (51' pen.), Meshino (54'), Mane (78')

Moufi (50'), Antonio (84'), Medeiros (86')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 31
Rio Ave
2-1
Portimonense
Taremi (35' pen.), Augusto (90')
Piazon (90+3')
Vaz Te (6')
Jadson (34'), Possignolo (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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