Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
55.06% ( 0.31) | 24.01% ( 0.06) | 20.93% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 50% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.69) | 50.71% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.61) | 72.61% ( 0.61) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% ( -0.14) | 18.3% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% ( -0.24) | 49.37% ( 0.24) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% ( -0.77) | 38.79% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.47% ( -0.74) | 75.53% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.04% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |