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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Boavista

Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Boavista

Jaba (52'), Abascal (78' og.), Kikas (84')
Luiz (31'), Cordeiro (36'), Gaspar (63'), Almeida (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavares (74')
Ferreira (25'), Perez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Boavista

Despite their disappointing performance, last weekend's draw saw Estrela end a three-game losing streak and they will head into Sunday's tie looking to build on that result. The Tricolores take on an out-of-sorts Boavista side and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
29.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.012 0.01)72.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.51% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 29.93%
    Boavista 44.43%
    Draw 25.62%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Boavista

Estrela Amadora
40.0%
Draw
33.3%
Boavista
26.7%
30
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612


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