Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga3 - 0Pacos de Ferreira
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Braga
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Braga 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Having failed to beat the drop, Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to at least go down on a high. However, Braga have been near impenetrable at home, where they have lost just once since early November. We are backing Os Arcebispos to extend their dominance over the visitors and pick up a morale-boosting result ahead of June's cup final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
75.35% ( 0.06) | 15.98% ( -0.02) | 8.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.48% ( 0.01) | 41.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.08% ( 0.01) | 63.92% ( -0.01) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.64% ( 0.02) | 9.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.46% ( 0.04) | 31.54% ( -0.04) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.7% ( -0.06) | 51.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.46% ( -0.04) | 85.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 75.33%
Pacos de Ferreira 8.67%
Draw 15.98%
| Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.37% 3-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 75.33% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.98% | 0-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 8.67% |
How you voted: Braga vs Pacos de Ferreira
Braga
100%Draw
0.0%Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%5
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 7pm
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
Form Guide
