Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
47.79% ( -0.01) | 25.87% ( -0) | 26.33% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.8% ( 0.01) | 53.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.24% ( 0.01) | 74.76% ( -0.01) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% | 22.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( 0) | 55.71% ( -0) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% ( 0.01) | 35.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% ( 0.01) | 71.95% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |