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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Rio Ave

Pacos de Ferreira
3 - 1
Rio Ave

Thomas (1'), Aderlan (48' og.), Guedes (85' pen.)
Holsgrove (50'), Pires (90'), Ribeiro (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Patrick (3')
Pantalon (42'), Pereira (79'), Costinha (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 Rio Ave

 Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio Capital do Movel. Rio Ave have struggled for results away from home, where they have managed just two wins in the league this season, and we predict that Pacos de Ferreira will come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawRio Ave
25.71% (0.286 0.29) 25.72% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 48.57% (-0.314 -0.31)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.098999999999997 0.1)53.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (0.084 0.08)74.6% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (0.297 0.3)35.62% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (0.305 0.31)72.39% (-0.31 -0.31)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)21.84% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.148 -0.15)55.07% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 25.71%
    Rio Ave 48.57%
    Draw 25.71%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.31% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 25.71%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 11.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.57%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 6pm
gameweek 16
Rio Ave
0-1
Pacos de Ferreira

Sa (27'), Samaris (41'), Graca (68'), Boateng (90+6'), Rodrigues (90+3')
Thomas (34')
Thomas (15'), Antunes (41'), Marafona (44'), Djalo (50'), Uilton (74'), Lima (90+4')
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 29
Rio Ave
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Coentrao (49')
Borevkovic (34'), Amaral (36')
Pinto (81')
Uilton (31')
Rebocho (70')
Jan 3, 2021 7pm
gameweek 12
Pacos de Ferreira
2-0
Rio Ave
Tanque (24', 56')
Jun 7, 2020 9pm
gameweek 25
Rio Ave
2-3
Pacos de Ferreira
Lopes (43'), Gelson (58')
Piazon (38'), Elmusrati (42'), Reis (62')
Reis (68')
Amaral (12'), Tanque (14'), Santos (52')
Amaral (38'), Ferreira (48'), Pedrinho (68'), (69'), Silva (90+3')
Teles (45+1')
Oct 25, 2019 8.30pm
gameweek 8
Pacos de Ferreira
0-0
Rio Ave

Augusto (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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