Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
29.3% ( -0.22) | 25.95% ( -0.02) | 44.74% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 52.2% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.19% ( -0.04) | 51.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.43% ( -0.03) | 73.57% ( 0.03) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( -0.18) | 32.14% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( -0.2) | 68.62% ( 0.2) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( 0.09) | 23.08% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( 0.14) | 56.91% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |